8:00 pm Update: NYTimes Capitulates, Polymarket Explodes for Trump
The overall picture is becoming clearer now of how the night will go:
The NYTimes now projects Trump will win with 279 electoral votes.
Trump has jumped all the way up to 72% at Polymarket
Trump is on track to win in both Georgia and North Carolina.
As I pointed out this morning, if Trump wins by double-digits in Florida and wins Miami-Dade, that is a great sign for how the race will go overall. Trump is about to win by 13% in Florida and will win Miami-Dade.
Trump is headed for about a 10% win in Texas, with Ted Cruz on track to win by around 6%.
The thing to remember in PA is that they are still counting early/mail-in ballots, which data showed would favor Harris by about 400k votes. She’s about 400k up, so no surprise.
Overall, I’m feeling pretty good about where we are headed.
Thx for these updates and insights David! Very helpful, as it's a bear at times to wade thru the info/disinfo web.
I feel my hair may be on fire...