Campaign Update: Betting Markets Dump More Kamala Shares as Trump Destroys Bloomberg Editor

As October dawned, Dear Kamala and her flamboyant knucklehead running mate, Tampon Tim “how the hell do you load this shotgun?” Walz were flying high. They held a slight lead in the polls, they had a narrow but clear path to winning the electoral college, and Harris even held a narrow, 2-point lead in odds at Polymarket.

She had kept that lead in the betting odds for more than 7 solid weeks starting on August 7, at times leading by as much as 54%-45%. But the odds flipped on October 2, when Trump moved into a narrow lead, which often sat as low as 1/10th of 1% until October 7. On that Sunday, Trump’s lead suddenly popped up to 5 or 6 points, and then popped again across the next two days all the way up to 10 on October 9.

What we were seeing was the betting odds showing the shifts in the public mood across that period of time, a leading indicator for the polling that was to shortly follow.