GOP Early Vote Performance: Mark Halperin Has Thoughts
Readers have no doubt noted that I’ve been placing more and more emphasis in recent days on early voting numbers than on polls as a better leading indicator of the ultimate outcome of this presidential race. The reason is obvious: The early voting numbers are real votes while the polls are no better than educated guesses from good pollsters like Atlas Intel, Rich Baris, Trafalgar, etc. or just frauds designed to generate clicks and views, i.e., Morning Consult, Ipsos, or Fox News Poll, among many others.
This isn’t exactly rocket science, and you’ve been watching the weekly “Talking Politics” podcast with Larry Schweikart, you’ve observed Larry’s strong beliefs in this vein, too.
In the past two election cycles, those of us hoping for a Trump win have been left to hope and pray he does fantastic on Election Day, because his performance in the early voting processes in the various states has been uniformly dismal. In 2020, the word “tragic” even comes to mind to describe it.